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Sao Francisco BA W vs Jacuipense W

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Baiano Women
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano Women game between Sao Francisco BA W and Jacuipense W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Francisco BA W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sao Francisco BA W
20%
Draws
38%
Jacuipense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Francisco BA W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Francisco BA W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sao Francisco BA W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sao Francisco BA W Clean Sheet 13%
Jacuipense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco BA W Jacuipense W
Matches Played 7 14
Wins 4 3
Draws 0 1
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 3.14 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.71 6.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.14 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.71 6.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Baiano Women
Sao Francisco BA W vs Jacuipense W
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco BA W 40 / 100
Jacuipense W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco BA W Jacuipense W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jacuipense W conceded in 93% of 14 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Sao Francisco BA W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sao Francisco BA W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco BA W VS Jacuipense W
3.14 Goals Scored 0.63
2.71 Goals Conceded 6.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 63%
86% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria W660045:118
2Alagoinhas W641133:813
3Lusaca W631212:810
4Juazeirense W622215:58
5Camacariense W62139:97
6Barcelona FC W61144:314
7Porto-BA W60061:570
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia W660059:018
2Sao Francisco BA W640222:1712
3Litoral Norte W631213:1810
4CFFB W630316:99
5Jacuipense W621313:137
6Jequie W61238:175
7Botafogo BA W60061:580