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Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Deivyd
80' Event
Deivyd
82' Event
da Silva Azeredo Brandao M.

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2 2025 game between Sao Francisco FC (AC) and Placido de Castro finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Francisco FC (AC).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
28%
Draws
22%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Placido de Castro haven't matched Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sao Francisco FC (AC) a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Acreano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 20%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco FC (AC) Placido de Castro
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.75 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 4.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 Acreano 2
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
3:0
Feb 16, 2025 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
3:2
Apr 6, 2024 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
2:1
Jul 14, 2021 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
1:1
Feb 16, 2020 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Top Goalscorer Deivyd
2 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva Azeredo Brandao M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Placido de Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco FC (AC) 49 / 100
Placido de Castro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Placido de Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Placido de Castro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Away concern: Placido de Castro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco FC (AC) VS Placido de Castro
1.88 Goals Scored 0.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 4.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Francisco FC (AC)

(Home)
05 Mar
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
2 : 2
Vasco da Gama AC
24 Feb
SC Humaita
7 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
12 Feb
Santa Cruz AC
5 : 0
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
05 Feb
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 2
Senador Guiomard
29 Jan
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0 : 6
Rio Branco AC
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Placido de Castro

(Away)
11 Sept
Atletico Acreano
7 : 0
Placido de Castro
04 Sept
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
26 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 8
Santa Cruz AC
21 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 0
Nauas EC
16 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 3
Andira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Francisco FC (AC)540111:412
2Santa Cruz AC532022:211
3Atletico Acreano531115:610
4Andira52129:107
5Placido de Castro51042:213
6Nauas EC50052:180
Promotion - Acreano 2 2025 (Play Offs)