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Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Juninho
31' Event
Ryan
36' Event
Ryan

AI Match Summary

Sao Francisco FC (AC) in this Acreano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Francisco FC (AC).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
28%
Draws
22%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Francisco FC (AC) lately — more wins on the board than Placido de Castro.
  • Model gives Sao Francisco FC (AC) a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 20%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco FC (AC) Placido de Castro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.75 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 4.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 Acreano 2
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
3:0
Feb 16, 2025 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
3:2
Apr 6, 2024 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
2:1
Jul 14, 2021 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
1:1
Feb 16, 2020 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Placido de Castro
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Placido de Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nando
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.36
Avg xA / game 0.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco FC (AC) 49 / 100
Placido de Castro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Placido de Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Placido de Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Placido de Castro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sao Francisco FC (AC) scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco FC (AC) VS Placido de Castro
1.88 Goals Scored 0.4
0.75 Goals Conceded 4.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco da Gama AC752013:517
2Senador Guiomard742113:814
3Independencia Futebol Clube733112:412
4Galvez732214:911
5SC Humaita724112:810
6Rio Branco AC721413:167
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71063:163
8Placido de Castro70258:22-1