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Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Joao Vitor
46' Event
Melo S.
57' Event
Chico

AI Match Summary

The Acreano game between Sao Francisco FC (AC) and Vasco da Gama AC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
6%
Draws
90%
Vasco da Gama AC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vasco da Gama AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vasco da Gama AC have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Sao Francisco FC (AC) are scoring more at 1.75.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Vasco da Gama AC taking it.
  • Regular Acreano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 20%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco FC (AC) Vasco da Gama AC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:0
Apr 22, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
4:1
Mar 5, 2023 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
4:1
Jul 24, 2021 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Vitor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chico
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Melo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tito
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco FC (AC) 10 / 100
Vasco da Gama AC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Vasco da Gama AC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vasco da Gama AC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Away concern: Vasco da Gama AC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco FC (AC) VS Vasco da Gama AC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1