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Sao Francisco vs Bragantino PA

Brazil Brazil

Copa Grao Para 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Charles
22' Event
Charles
(Penalty)
32' Event
Silva da Conceicao C.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Grao Para 2024 game between Sao Francisco and Bragantino PA finished 6-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Francisco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sao Francisco
20%
Draws
38%
Bragantino PA
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Francisco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Francisco have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Bragantino PA are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Sao Francisco's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Grao Para 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bragantino PA here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sao Francisco Clean Sheet 20%
Bragantino PA Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco Bragantino PA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Bragantino PA
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Copa Grao Para
Sao Francisco vs Bragantino PA
6:4
Jan 28, 2024 Paraense
Bragantino PA vs Sao Francisco
2:1
Mar 5, 2023 Paraense
Bragantino PA vs Sao Francisco
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva da Conceicao C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Carvalho Santos E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bragantino PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco 42 / 100
Bragantino PA 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco Bragantino PA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bragantino PA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.

Sao Francisco scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Bragantino PA registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco VS Bragantino PA
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tuna Luso-
TBD-
Caete0
Santa Rosa1
Aguia De Maraba-
TBD-
Sao Francisco6
Bragantino PA4
Semi-finals
Tuna Luso1
Santa Rosa0
Aguia De Maraba0
Sao Francisco1
Final
Tuna Luso2
Sao Francisco1