Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Francisco vs Cameta

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Municipal de Ipixuna, Ipixuna
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Luciano
27' Event
Luquinha
66' Event
Luciano

AI Match Summary

The Paraense game between Sao Francisco and Cameta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cameta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sao Francisco
20%
Draws
60%
Cameta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cameta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Sao Francisco haven't matched Cameta's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Paraense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sao Francisco Clean Sheet 20%
Cameta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Francisco Cameta
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Cameta
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Cameta
1:1
Apr 9, 2023 Paraense
Cameta vs Sao Francisco
5:2
Apr 2, 2023 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Cameta
0:1
Mar 26, 2017 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Cameta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Luquinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cameta Compare

Top Goalscorer Luciano
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Francisco 36 / 100
Cameta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Francisco Cameta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cameta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sao Francisco scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Cameta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Cameta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Francisco VS Cameta
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Francisco

(Home)
15 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0
Sao Francisco
11 Feb
Tuna Luso
1 : 0
Sao Francisco
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2
Cameta
04 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Sao Francisco
31 Jan
Sao Francisco
0 : 0
Remo
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Cameta

(Away)
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Cameta
2 : 3
Remo
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Cameta
11 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameta 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Paysandu PA 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
4 Aguia De Maraba 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
5 Remo 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
6 Tuna Luso 6 3 0 3 3:5 9
7 Castanhal 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
8 Santa Rosa 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
9 Sao Raimundo PA 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
10 Amazonia IFC 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
11 Bragantino PA 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
12 Sao Francisco 6 1 2 3 4:5 5
Promotion - Paraense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 2027 (Main)