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Sao Gabriel MS U20 vs Uniao ABC U20

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Gabriel MS U20 play Uniao ABC U20 in the Sul-Matogrossense U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Gabriel MS U20 averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Uniao ABC U20 averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Gabriel MS U20 won 1, Uniao ABC U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 6, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sao Gabriel MS U20 and 0.94 for Uniao ABC U20. This points to a Sao Gabriel MS U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sao Gabriel MS U20
17%
Draws
30%
Uniao ABC U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sao Gabriel MS U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Sao Gabriel MS U20 picked up more points recently compared to Uniao ABC U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Sao Gabriel MS U20 Clean Sheet 24%
Uniao ABC U20 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel MS U20 Uniao ABC U20
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Sao Gabriel MS U20 vs Uniao ABC U20
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense U20
Uniao ABC U20 vs Sao Gabriel MS U20
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel MS U20 53 / 100
Uniao ABC U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel MS U20 Uniao ABC U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Gabriel MS U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sao Gabriel MS U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Gabriel MS U20 attacking → ← attacking Uniao ABC U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Gabriel MS U20 scored in 64% of their last 14 games.

Uniao ABC U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sao Gabriel MS U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uniao ABC U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 32
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1AA Portuguesa U20631212:810
2Comercial MS U20631213:1110
3Aquidauanense U20623115:109
4Corumbaense U2061147:184
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dourados U20633010:412
2Operario AC U2063217:411
3Ivinhema U2062139:127
4Sete de Dourados U2060241:72
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Gabriel MS U20651010:216
2Uniao ABC U2062225:78
3Novoperario U2062137:57
4Campo Grande U2061054:123