Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Gabriel vs Inter Santa Maria Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2024
Sao Gabriel Logo

Sao Gabriel

2 - 5
FT
Inter Santa Maria Logo

Inter Santa Maria

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Tairone
32' Event
Michel Henrique
35' Event
Jarro Pedroso
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Inter Santa Maria in this Gaucho 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Santa Maria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sao Gabriel
30%
Draws
70%
Inter Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Santa Maria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Inter Santa Maria have won more games recently than Sao Gabriel.
  • Inter Santa Maria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Inter Santa Maria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Sao Gabriel Clean Sheet 10%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel Inter Santa Maria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 1 13
Draws 5 11
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0.34 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.97 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2024 Gaucho 2
Sao Gabriel vs Inter Santa Maria
2:5
Jun 5, 2024 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Sao Gabriel
2:1
Jun 4, 2023 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Sao Gabriel
1:0
May 28, 2023 Gaucho 2
Sao Gabriel vs Inter Santa Maria
0:0
Jun 12, 2022 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Sao Gabriel
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Gabriel Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista R. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Henrique
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tairone
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel 10 / 100
Inter Santa Maria 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel Inter Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Santa Maria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sao Gabriel scored in 28% of their last 29 games.

Inter Santa Maria let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Inter Santa Maria has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel VS Inter Santa Maria
0.13 Goals Scored 0.38
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Gabriel

(Home)
16 Nov
Sao Gabriel
0 : 5
SC Sao Paulo
09 Nov
Pelotas
3 : 0
Sao Gabriel
08 Nov
Riograndense
8 : 0
Sao Gabriel
29 Oct
Internacional 2
7 : 0
Sao Gabriel
25 Oct
SC Rio Grande
3 : 1
Sao Gabriel
Page 1 of 6

Inter Santa Maria

(Away)
07 Mar
Avenida
0 : 0
Inter Santa Maria
28 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
1 : 1
Monsoon
21 Feb
Inter Santa Maria
0 : 1
Guarany de Bage
16 Feb
Guarany de Bage
3 : 2
Inter Santa Maria
09 Feb
Monsoon
1 : 1
Inter Santa Maria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GE Gloria 14 9 2 3 17:7 29
2 Passo Fundo 14 8 3 3 21:13 27
3 Veranopolis 14 7 2 5 19:13 23
4 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 5 3 15:14 23
5 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 4 3 7 17:17 15
6 SC Gaucho 14 4 3 7 15:15 15
7 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 0 9 11:24 15
8 EC Cruzeiro 14 3 2 9 11:23 11
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monsoon 14 8 4 2 20:10 28
2 Inter Santa Maria 14 8 3 3 26:12 27
3 Lajeadense 14 6 6 2 13:7 24
4 Pelotas 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
5 Aimore 14 6 3 5 20:13 21
6 GE Bage 14 6 2 6 14:14 20
7 Futvida 14 2 2 10 8:24 8
8 Sao Gabriel 14 1 2 11 7:34 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2025 (Main)