Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sampaio Correa FE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Sao Goncalo haven't matched Sampaio Correa FE's recent run of results.
- Sao Goncalo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Sampaio Correa FE arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sampaio Correa FE, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sampaio Correa FE have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sao Goncalo Clean Sheet 68%
Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Goncalo | Sampaio Correa FE |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Rio
Sampaio Correa FE vs Sao Goncalo
1:0
Aug 5, 2026 Copa Rio
Sao Goncalo vs Sampaio Correa FE
0:0
Oct 14, 2020 Carioca 2
Sao Goncalo vs Sampaio Correa FE
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Goncalo 50 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Goncalo Sampaio Correa FE
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Goncalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sampaio Correa FE has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Sao Goncalo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Sao Goncalo scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sao Goncalo VS Sampaio Correa FE
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Goncalo
(Home) 12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0 Sao Goncalo
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0 Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1 Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1 Audax RJ
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05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1 Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1 Audax RJ
24 Jun
Sao Goncalo
3 : 2 Serrano FC
20 Jun
Sao Goncalo
2 : 0 Bonsucesso
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Sampaio Correa FE
(Away) 23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
16 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Madureira
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 0 Sao Goncalo
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23 Sept
Madureira
0 : 2 Sampaio Correa FE
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
05 Aug
Sao Goncalo
0 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1 Sampaio Correa FE
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
