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Sao Joao de Ver vs AD Marco 09 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio Clube de São João de Ver, Aveiro
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Camara M.
20'
Traore B.
46'
Sub
Machado J. In: Soares L.
Out: Machado J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between Sao Joao de Ver and AD Marco 09 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sao Joao de Ver
30%
Draws
58%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Marco 09 come out ahead of Sao Joao de Ver on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AD Marco 09's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 24%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver AD Marco 09
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.86 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs AD Marco 09
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs AD Marco 09
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs Sao Joao de Ver
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Liga 3
Sao Joao de Ver vs AD Marco 09
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 29 / 100
AD Marco 09 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver AD Marco 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Marco 09 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Joao de Ver scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: AD Marco 09 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sao Joao de Ver stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS AD Marco 09
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao de Ver

(Home)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
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AD Marco 09

(Away)
10 Oct
Leca
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 6 4 1 1 11:7 13
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 SC Vianense 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
6 Louletano 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
7 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
8 Covilha 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)