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Sao Joao de Ver vs Aliados Lordelo

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 game between Sao Joao de Ver and Aliados Lordelo finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Joao de Ver.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sao Joao de Ver
11%
Draws
9%
Aliados Lordelo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sao Joao de Ver

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Aliados Lordelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sao Joao de Ver's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 19%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver Aliados Lordelo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 4
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Sao Joao de Ver vs Aliados Lordelo
3:2
Nov 5, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Sao Joao de Ver
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 76 / 100
Aliados Lordelo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver Aliados Lordelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Aliados Lordelo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Sao Joao de Ver has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aliados Lordelo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tondela30196549:2263
2SC Espinho30195650:3262
3Operario30157834:2652
4Boavista301551043:3150
5Amarante FC301310748:3049
6Sao Joao de Ver301541143:4649
7Gondomar301351227:3144
8Cinfaes301271135:4043
9Coimbroes30915630:3142
10Anadia301171245:4240
11Padroense301161347:5039
12Aliados Lordelo301071341:4037
13Oliv. Bairro30771634:5028
14SC Angrense30581736:4923
15Paredes30651930:5023
16FC Madalena30561932:5421