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Sao Joao de Ver vs Oliveira do Douro Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Cisse I.
89' Event
Lima M.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 game between Sao Joao de Ver and Oliveira do Douro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Joao de Ver.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sao Joao de Ver
30%
Draws
47%
Oliveira do Douro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oliveira do Douro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Joao de Ver carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sao Joao de Ver are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao de Ver Oliveira do Douro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.88 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Joao de Ver vs Oliveira do Douro
2:0
Oct 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Oliveira do Douro vs Sao Joao de Ver
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Joao de Ver Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Oliveira do Douro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao de Ver 46 / 100
Oliveira do Douro 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao de Ver Oliveira do Douro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oliveira do Douro conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Sao Joao de Ver's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Oliveira do Douro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao de Ver VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao de Ver

(Home)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
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Oliveira do Douro

(Away)
07 Apr
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 1
Amarante FC
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0
Oliveira do Douro
17 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 2
Paredes
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4
Oliveira do Douro
03 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 26 17 8 1 40:15 59
2 Sao Joao de Ver 26 12 9 5 27:18 45
3 Gondomar 26 12 7 7 28:20 43
4 AD Marco 09 26 11 8 7 29:22 41
5 Rebordosa 26 8 12 6 27:23 36
6 Paredes 26 9 8 9 31:25 35
7 SC Salgueiros 26 9 8 9 35:26 35
8 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 8 10 8 35:32 34
9 Beira Mar 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Florgrade 26 8 9 9 24:24 33
11 Oliveira do Douro 26 6 8 12 25:33 26
12 Valadares Gaia FC 26 6 6 14 22:47 24
13 ACDR Lamelas 26 7 3 16 19:39 24
14 Vila Mea 26 6 4 16 27:45 22
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)