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Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
65'
90'

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 game between Sao Joao del Rei and Paracatu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Joao del Rei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sao Joao del Rei
15%
Draws
61%
Paracatu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paracatu come out ahead of Sao Joao del Rei on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Paracatu taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sao Joao del Rei Clean Sheet 20%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Joao del Rei Paracatu
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 1 13
Draws 0 10
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 0.67 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Mineiro 3
Sao Joao del Rei vs Paracatu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Joao del Rei 10 / 100
Paracatu 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Joao del Rei Paracatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paracatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paracatu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Sao Joao del Rei found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (3 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sao Joao del Rei stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Joao del Rei VS Paracatu
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Joao del Rei

(Home)
02 Oct
Sao Joao del Rei
0 : 1
Betim FC 2
26 Sept
Funorte EC
1 : 0
Sao Joao del Rei
18 Sept
Sao Joao del Rei
2 : 0
Araxa

Paracatu

(Away)
03 Oct
Paracatu
3 : 0
Funorte EC
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
19 Sept
Paracatu
5 : 0
Siderurgica
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional de Muriae 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Venda Nova FC 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
3 Novo Esporte 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Inter de Minas 3 1 0 2 8:4 3
5 Nova Lavras 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 Santarritense 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paracatu 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Betim FC 2 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Funorte EC 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
5 Araxa 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
6 Siderurgica 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)