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Sao Jose EC vs Desportivo

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose EC play Desportivo in the Paulista A3 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sao Jose EC averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Desportivo averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Jose EC won 2, Desportivo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 12, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Sao Jose EC and 0.56 for Desportivo. This points to a Sao Jose EC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Jose EC
6%
Draws
4%
Desportivo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Desportivo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sao Jose EC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Paulista A3 2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Desportivo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2023 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Mar 29, 2023 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Desportivo
1:2
Feb 15, 2023 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Sao Jose EC
0:1
Feb 3, 2022 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Desportivo
3:1
May 1, 2021 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Sao Jose EC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 85 / 100
Desportivo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Desportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose EC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Desportivo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sao Jose EC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS Desportivo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capivariano641111:813
2EC Sao Bernardo63129:410
3Marilia62135:67
4Matonense61145:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Prudente62318:79
2Sao Jose EC62226:68
3Desportivo62225:58
4Uniao Suzano62137:87