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Sao Jose EC vs Noroeste - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Estadio Martins Pereira, Sao Jose dos Campos
Sao Jose EC Logo

Sao Jose EC

1 - 0
FT
Noroeste Logo

Noroeste

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Natan Masiero
51'
Wesley Rodrigues
61'
Sub
Mauricio In: Lucas Andre
Out: Mauricio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sao Jose EC
35%
Draws
31%
Noroeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Jose EC come out ahead of Noroeste on wins alone.
  • Sao Jose EC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Sao Jose EC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Jose EC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%
Noroeste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose EC Noroeste
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 6 14
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Noroeste
1:0
Sep 27, 2026 Copa Paulista
Noroeste vs Sao Jose EC
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Noroeste
2:1
Mar 17, 2022 Paulista A3
Sao Jose EC vs Noroeste
0:3
Apr 28, 2021 Paulista A3
Noroeste vs Sao Jose EC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Rodrigues
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Noroeste Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose EC 59 / 100
Noroeste 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose EC Noroeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose EC's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Noroeste conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sao Jose EC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose EC VS Noroeste
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose EC

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Noroeste

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Jose EC
1 : 0
Noroeste
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
22 Aug
Noroeste
4 : 3
Comercial
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sao Jose EC -
TBD -
EC Sao Bernardo 2
Comercial 3
Noroeste -
TBD -
Primavera EC 12
Sao Caetano 0
Linense -
TBD -
Paulista 2
Gremio Prudente 7
Juventus-SP -
TBD -
Bandeirante 3
Uniao Sao Joao 4
Quarter-finals
Sao Jose EC 3
Comercial 0
Noroeste 3
Primavera EC 2
Linense 3
Gremio Prudente 4
Juventus-SP 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Semi-finals
Sao Jose EC 2
Noroeste 1
Gremio Prudente 1
Uniao Sao Joao 2
Final
Sao Jose EC -
Uniao Sao Joao -