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Sao Jose (MA) vs Americano Bacabal

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Maranhense 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Maranhense 2017 game between Sao Jose (MA) and Americano Bacabal finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Jose (MA).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Jose (MA)
15%
Draws
49%
Americano Bacabal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Americano Bacabal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Jose (MA) come out ahead of Americano Bacabal on wins alone.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 18%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose (MA) Americano Bacabal
Matches Played 35 23
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.29 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.29 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Maranhense 2
Americano Bacabal vs Sao Jose (MA)
1:0
Apr 12, 2017 Maranhense
Sao Jose (MA) vs Americano Bacabal
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose (MA) 31 / 100
Americano Bacabal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose (MA) Americano Bacabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose (MA) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano Bacabal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 23 matches.

Sao Jose (MA) found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (35 games).

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Americano Bacabal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose (MA) VS Americano Bacabal
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose (MA)

(Home)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 7

Americano Bacabal

(Away)
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
10 Jun
Araioses
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
01 Jun
Americano Bacabal
0 : 1
Expressinho
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Quiteria 4 3 0 1 6:6 9
2 Sampaio Correa 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Imperatriz 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
2 Cordino EC 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
3 Maranhao 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
4 Americano Bacabal 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Maranhense 2017 (Second stage - Play Offs)