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Sao Jose (MA) vs Araioses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 game between Sao Jose (MA) and Araioses finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araioses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Sao Jose (MA)
20%
Draws
63%
Araioses
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araioses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Araioses carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Araioses a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 16%
Araioses Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose (MA) Araioses
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 0
Goals Scored 1.13 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Jose (MA) vs Araioses
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose (MA) 10 / 100
Araioses 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose (MA) Araioses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araioses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (MA)'s goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Araioses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 30% of 10 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sao Jose (MA) remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose (MA) VS Araioses
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Jose (MA)

(Home)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 6

Araioses

(Away)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Araioses
2 : 0
Cordino EC
11 Jul
Cordino EC
1 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)