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Sao Jose (TO) vs Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose (TO) in this Tocantinense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Jose (TO).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sao Jose (TO)
22%
Draws
60%
Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sao Jose (TO) at 1.57 per game, Alvorada at 0.88.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Alvorada taking it.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sao Jose (TO) Clean Sheet 19%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Jose (TO) Alvorada
Matches Played 22 20
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.57 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Sao Jose (TO) vs Alvorada
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Jose (TO) 20 / 100
Alvorada 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Jose (TO) Alvorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvorada has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Sao Jose (TO) scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Sao Jose (TO) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Jose (TO) VS Alvorada
1.57 Goals Scored 0.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batalhao642022:514
2Interporto633016:512
3Araguaia (TO)63219:511
4Sao Jose (TO)632111:1011
5Alvorada62137:97
6Taquarussu61054:213
7Uniao de Palmas60064:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bela Vista-TO541017:113
2SD Sparta532010:211
3Guarai SC530212:69
4Araguacema521210:77
5Arsenal (TO)40041:90
6Colinas40041:260