Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SAO Jose vs Amapa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2006
Thu, Jun 8, 2006
2 - 1
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with SAO Jose advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SAO Jose
30%
Draws
41%
Amapa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SAO Jose come out ahead of Amapa on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • SAO Jose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SAO Jose, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SAO Jose have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 20%
Amapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Jose Amapa
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2008 Amapaense
Amapa vs SAO Jose
0:3
Jul 9, 2007 Amapaense
Amapa vs SAO Jose
0:4
May 31, 2007 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Amapa
2:1
Jun 8, 2006 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Amapa
2:1
Jun 5, 2006 Amapaense
Amapa vs SAO Jose
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Jose 32 / 100
Amapa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Jose Amapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Amapa conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

SAO Jose scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

SAO Jose has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SAO Jose VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Jose

(Home)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
Page 1 of 8

Amapa

(Away)
21 Jun
Amapa
1 : 1
Independente AP
13 Jun
Ypiranga AP
0 : 1
Amapa
01 Jun
Trem
2 : 1
Amapa
17 May
Amapa
3 : 2
Santos AP
10 May
Cristal AP
2 : 0
Amapa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Amapa 1
SAO Jose 2