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SAO Jose vs Mazagao Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Amapaense 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2011 game between SAO Jose and Mazagao finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazagao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SAO Jose
30%
Draws
31%
Mazagao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SAO Jose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazagao come out ahead of SAO Jose on wins alone.
  • Model gives SAO Jose a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 17%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Jose Mazagao
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2011 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
0:2
Dec 3, 2009 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
3:1
Nov 18, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs SAO Jose
2:1
Nov 8, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs SAO Jose
3:2
Jul 1, 2008 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Mazagao
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Jose 41 / 100
Mazagao 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Jose Mazagao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

SAO Jose found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (35 games).

Mazagao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

SAO Jose went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAO Jose VS Mazagao
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Jose

(Home)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
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Mazagao

(Away)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
04 Jun
Renovacao
1 : 4
Mazagao
31 May
Mazagao
1 : 5
Portuguesa AP
23 May
Latitude Zero
2 : 1
Mazagao
14 May
Mazagao
1 : 1
Cruzeiro AP
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
2 Ypiranga AP 4 3 0 1 9:1 9
3 Santana EC 4 2 0 2 4:3 6
4 Santos AP 4 1 1 2 6:3 4
5 Cristal AP 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2011 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazagao 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Oratorio 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 SAO Jose 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
4 Independente AP 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
5 Sao Paulo AP 4 0 0 4 4:16 0
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2011 (Second stage - Play Offs)