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Sao Luis vs Americano Bacabal

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 2025 game between Sao Luis and Americano Bacabal finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sao Luis
20%
Draws
29%
Americano Bacabal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Luis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sao Luis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sao Luis have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luis Americano Bacabal
Matches Played 25 23
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.04 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Americano Bacabal
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Americano Bacabal
5:0
Sep 14, 2024 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Americano Bacabal
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luis 85 / 100
Americano Bacabal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luis Americano Bacabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (25 games).

Americano Bacabal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Sao Luis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luis VS Americano Bacabal
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Luis

(Home)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
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Americano Bacabal

(Away)
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
10 Jun
Araioses
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
01 Jun
Americano Bacabal
0 : 1
Expressinho
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)