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Sao Luis vs Araioses

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Araioses in this Maranhense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araioses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Sao Luis
30%
Draws
43%
Araioses
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araioses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Araioses haven't matched Sao Luis's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sao Luis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Araioses Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luis Araioses
Matches Played 25 10
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 2.04 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Araioses
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luis 42 / 100
Araioses 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luis Araioses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (25 games).

Solid form: Sao Luis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Araioses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 30% of 10 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luis VS Araioses
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Luis

(Home)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 5

Araioses

(Away)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Araioses
2 : 0
Cordino EC
11 Jul
Cordino EC
1 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)