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Sao Luis vs Tupan

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Maranhense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sao Luis
30%
Draws
29%
Tupan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Luis lately — more wins on the board than Tupan.
  • Model gives Sao Luis a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Tupan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luis Tupan
Matches Played 25 19
Wins 12 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.04 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Tupan
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Sao Luis
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Tupan
3:0
Oct 18, 2024 Maranhense 2
Tupan vs Sao Luis
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luis 85 / 100
Tupan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luis Tupan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Luis scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Tupan let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sao Luis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luis VS Tupan
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Luis

(Home)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 5

Tupan

(Away)
15 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
5 : 1
Tupan
11 Jul
Tupan
0 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
01 Jul
Tupan
0 : 0
Araioses
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)