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Sao Luis vs Tupy FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Lucas Lima

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Sao Luis and Tupy FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupy FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sao Luis
35%
Draws
32%
Tupy FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Luis come out ahead of Tupy FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Luis Tupy FC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 14
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Sao Luis
0:1
Aug 22, 2026 Goiano 2
Sao Luis vs Tupy FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Luis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Lima
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Luis 31 / 100
Tupy FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Luis Tupy FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tupy FC let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sao Luis scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Sao Luis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Luis VS Tupy FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Luis

(Home)
07 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 3
Goianesia
03 Oct
Sao Luis
1 : 1
Goiania
27 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Sao Luis
23 Sept
Sao Luis
1 : 1
Trindade
19 Sept
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Sao Luis
Page 1 of 6

Tupy FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Trindade
2 : 3
Tupy FC
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Tupy FC 18 5 7 6 18:19 22
7 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 18 2 6 10 15:28 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)