Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018

Sao Martinho

1 - 0

Aroes

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 game between Sao Martinho and Aroes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Martinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sao Martinho

20%

Draws

38%

Aroes

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Sao Martinho carry the better recent record into this one.
Sao Martinho are the model's pick here, at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 20%

Aroes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Martinho	Aroes
Matches Played	41	30
Wins	17	5
Draws	7	8
Losses	17	17
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho vs Aroes

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Oct 7, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Aroes vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Apr 10, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Aroes vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Feb 21, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Sao Martinho vs Aroes

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Dec 19, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Aroes vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 42 / 100

Aroes 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Martinho Aroes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aroes conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Sao Martinho found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (41 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sao Martinho stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vizela	30	22	7	1	53:11	73
2	Vilaverdense FC	30	19	7	4	65:29	64
3	AD Fafe	30	18	6	6	42:19	60
4	SC Mirandela	30	17	6	7	42:26	57
5	Merelinense	30	15	8	7	60:29	53
6	Sao Martinho	30	14	7	9	46:31	49
7	AD Oliveirense	30	10	14	6	41:27	44
8	CDC Montalegre	30	10	8	12	39:38	38
9	GD Uniao Torcatense	30	10	8	12	28:36	38
10	Pedras Salgadas	30	10	8	12	32:35	38
11	GD Braganca	30	8	9	13	31:43	33
12	Camara de Lobos	30	9	3	18	27:54	30
13	Atletico Arcos	30	5	11	14	28:55	26
14	Aroes	30	5	9	16	25:41	24
15	Mondinense	30	6	5	19	27:68	23
16	Minas de Argozelo	30	3	2	25	24:68	11