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Sao Martinho vs Camacha Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Moreira N.
30' Event
Leca H.
69' Event
Amorim D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 game between Sao Martinho and Camacha finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Martinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sao Martinho
20%
Draws
47%
Camacha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Camacha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Camacha come out ahead of Sao Martinho on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 17%
Camacha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Martinho Camacha
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Sao Martinho
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Camacha
2:1
Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Camacha
0:0
Dec 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Camacha vs Sao Martinho
0:0
Dec 11, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Camacha vs Sao Martinho
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Martinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amorim D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59

Camacha Compare

Top Goalscorer Leca H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 31 / 100
Camacha 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Martinho Camacha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Martinho's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Camacha has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Sao Martinho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS Camacha
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Martinho

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

Camacha

(Away)
27 Sept
Camacha
0 : 1
Florgrade
13 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 2
Camacha
06 Sept
Camacha
1 : 0
Florgrade
30 Aug
Machico
2 : 3
Camacha
23 Aug
FC Alpendorada
1 : 2
Camacha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)