Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Martinho vs CD Ribeira Brava

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Moreira N.
70' Event
Silva T.

AI Match Summary

Sao Martinho in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Martinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sao Martinho
15%
Draws
0%
CD Ribeira Brava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Martinho lately — more wins on the board than CD Ribeira Brava.
  • Win probability leans Sao Martinho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 68%
CD Ribeira Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Martinho CD Ribeira Brava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.87 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs CD Ribeira Brava
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Ribeira Brava vs Sao Martinho
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Martinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Ribeira Brava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 95 / 100
CD Ribeira Brava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Martinho CD Ribeira Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Martinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Ribeira Brava conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: CD Ribeira Brava registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sao Martinho scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS CD Ribeira Brava
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Martinho

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

CD Ribeira Brava

(Away)
18 Apr
Machico
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
12 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
2 : 3
Brito
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
29 Mar
Brito
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
25 Mar
AD Limianos
3 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)