Sport Picks

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Sao Martinho vs Celoricense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Amorim D.

AI Match Summary

Sao Martinho in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Martinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sao Martinho
15%
Draws
48%
Celoricense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celoricense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celoricense lately — more wins on the board than Sao Martinho.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 68%
Celoricense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Martinho Celoricense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Celoricense vs Sao Martinho
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Sao Martinho vs Celoricense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Martinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Amorim D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Celoricense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 41 / 100
Celoricense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Martinho Celoricense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Martinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Martinho's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Celoricense conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Sao Martinho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS Celoricense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Martinho

(Home)
18 Apr
Sao Martinho
3 : 1
Desportivo Moncao
12 Apr
SC Mirandela
2 : 0
Sao Martinho
04 Apr
Sao Martinho
2 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
22 Mar
Celoricense
0 : 0
Sao Martinho
15 Mar
Sao Martinho
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
Page 1 of 6

Celoricense

(Away)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
Chaves B
1 : 0
Celoricense
06 Sept
Celoricense
2 : 1
Tirsense
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)