Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho

0 - 1

Vilaverdense FC

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Pedras N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A game between Sao Martinho and Vilaverdense FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vilaverdense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Sao Martinho

Draws

Vilaverdense FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Martinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sao Martinho carry the better recent record into this one.
Sao Martinho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 68%

Vilaverdense FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Martinho	Vilaverdense FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	4
Draws	4	9
Losses	16	17
Goals Scored	0.75	0.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho vs Vilaverdense FC

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Vilaverdense FC vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

May 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Vilaverdense FC vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Apr 2, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Sao Martinho vs Vilaverdense FC

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Apr 7, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Vilaverdense FC vs Sao Martinho

Possession: 58% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Martinho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Vilaverdense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedras N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Martinho 95 / 100

Vilaverdense FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Martinho Vilaverdense FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sao Martinho scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Vilaverdense FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sao Martinho stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Martinho VS Vilaverdense FC

0.75 Goals Scored 0.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	GD Braganca	26	14	6	6	41:29	48
2	SC Vianense	26	14	6	6	49:28	48
3	Brito	26	14	4	8	36:24	46
4	Celoricense	26	11	9	6	35:23	42
5	AD Limianos	26	11	8	7	35:32	41
6	Tirsense	26	9	13	4	31:22	40
7	Camacha	26	9	9	8	34:26	36
8	Chaves B	26	9	9	8	40:29	36
9	Machico	26	10	6	10	28:30	36
10	Sao Martinho	26	10	4	12	22:31	34
11	SC Mirandela	26	10	2	14	21:29	32
12	Vilaverdense FC	26	4	9	13	15:31	21
13	CD Ribeira Brava	26	4	8	14	20:46	20
14	Desportivo Moncao	26	4	5	17	26:53	17