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SAO Mateus U20 vs Nova Venecia U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Capixaba U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba U20 2024 game between SAO Mateus U20 and Nova Venecia U20 finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Venecia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SAO Mateus U20
30%
Draws
35%
Nova Venecia U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nova Venecia U20 come out ahead of SAO Mateus U20 on wins alone.
  • Nova Venecia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Capixaba U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SAO Mateus U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Venecia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus U20 Nova Venecia U20
Matches Played 8 15
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 4
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.25 2.4
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Capixaba U20
SAO Mateus U20 vs Nova Venecia U20
2:7
Mar 10, 2024 Capixaba U20
Nova Venecia U20 vs SAO Mateus U20
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus U20 10 / 100
Nova Venecia U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus U20 Nova Venecia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Venecia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Nova Venecia U20 conceded in 67% of 15 recent games.

Attacking prowess: SAO Mateus U20 scored in 50% of their last 8 outings.

SAO Mateus U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAO Mateus U20 VS Nova Venecia U20
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Mateus U20

(Home)
13 Apr
CTE Colatina U20
0 : 3
SAO Mateus U20
07 Apr
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 7
Nova Venecia U20
30 Mar
Jaguare U20
2 : 0
SAO Mateus U20
24 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 3
Real Noroeste U20
17 Mar
SAO Mateus U20
3 : 0
CTE Colatina U20
Page 1 of 2

Nova Venecia U20

(Away)
11 May
Nova Venecia U20
0 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
03 May
Rio Branco ES U20
4 : 2
Nova Venecia U20
27 Apr
Nova Venecia U20
2 : 2
Capixaba SC U20
21 Apr
Capixaba SC U20
3 : 3
Nova Venecia U20
07 Apr
SAO Mateus U20
2 : 7
Nova Venecia U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Venecia U20 8 7 1 0 28:8 22
2 Real Noroeste U20 8 5 2 1 22:7 17
3 Jaguare U20 8 4 1 3 12:7 13
4 SAO Mateus U20 8 2 0 6 10:22 6
5 CTE Colatina U20 8 0 0 8 3:31 0
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES U20 6 4 2 0 14:6 14
2 Capixaba SC U20 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Serra U20 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
4 Sport-ES U20 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria U20 6 4 2 0 25:4 14
2 Rio Branco ES U20 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
3 Desportiva Ferroviaria U20 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 G.E.L. U20 6 1 0 5 5:25 3
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilavelhense U20 6 5 0 1 14:5 15
2 Estrela do Norte U20 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Forte U20 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
4 Rio Branco-VN U20 6 1 1 4 9:11 4
Promotion - Capixaba U20 2024 (Play Offs)