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SAO Mateus vs Aracruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

0 - 1
FT
Aracruz Logo

Aracruz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aracruz in this Campeonato Capixaba 2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aracruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SAO Mateus
30%
Draws
35%
Aracruz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aracruz lately — more wins on the board than SAO Mateus.
  • Model gives Aracruz a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aracruz have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 14%
Aracruz Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus Aracruz
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.76 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2013 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Aracruz
1:0
Mar 9, 2013 Capixaba
Aracruz vs SAO Mateus
1:0
Mar 28, 2012 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Aracruz
0:1
Feb 15, 2012 Capixaba
Aracruz vs SAO Mateus
1:0
Mar 25, 2011 Capixaba
Aracruz vs SAO Mateus
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus 10 / 100
Aracruz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus Aracruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aracruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aracruz conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

SAO Mateus found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (33 games).

Recent resilience: SAO Mateus stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SAO Mateus VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Mateus

(Home)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 7

Aracruz

(Away)
24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0
Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1
Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0
Resende
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)