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SAO Mateus vs CA Itapemirim

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2017
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

1 - 2
FT
CA Itapemirim Logo

CA Itapemirim

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2017 game between SAO Mateus and CA Itapemirim finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Itapemirim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
SAO Mateus
15%
Draws
0%
CA Itapemirim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SAO Mateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • SAO Mateus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CA Itapemirim are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 14%
CA Itapemirim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SAO Mateus CA Itapemirim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.73 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2020 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs CA Itapemirim
1:0
Jan 24, 2018 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs CA Itapemirim
0:0
Mar 29, 2017 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs CA Itapemirim
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SAO Mateus 27 / 100
CA Itapemirim 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SAO Mateus CA Itapemirim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Itapemirim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Itapemirim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

CA Itapemirim lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SAO Mateus scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SAO Mateus VS CA Itapemirim
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SAO Mateus

(Home)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 6

CA Itapemirim

(Away)
11 Mar
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Vitoria ES
02 Mar
Rio Branco ES
2 : 1
CA Itapemirim
26 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Nova Venecia
15 Feb
Serra
2 : 0
CA Itapemirim
09 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Itapemirim 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
2 Doze Futebol Clube 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
3 Galatas 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
4 Tupy 9 3 3 3 9:12 12
5 SAO Mateus 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
6 Vitoria ES 9 2 5 2 8:10 11
7 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 2 4 3 10:7 10
8 Rio Branco ES 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
9 Real Noroeste 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
10 Linhares Futebol Clube 9 0 3 6 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2017 (Play Offs)