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Sao Miguel U20 vs Castanhal U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paraense U20
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AI Match Summary

Castanhal U20 in this Paraense U20 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castanhal U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sao Miguel U20
25%
Draws
35%
Castanhal U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sao Miguel U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Miguel U20 haven't matched Castanhal U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sao Miguel U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Paraense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sao Miguel U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Castanhal U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Miguel U20 Castanhal U20
Matches Played 10 18
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2026 Paraense U20
Sao Miguel U20 vs Castanhal U20
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Miguel U20 58 / 100
Castanhal U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Miguel U20 Castanhal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Miguel U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castanhal U20 let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Castanhal U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Miguel U20 VS Castanhal U20
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Miguel U20

(Home)

Castanhal U20

(Away)
18 Jan
Paysandu PA U20
3 : 1
Castanhal U20
11 Jan
Castanhal U20
1 : 1
Paysandu PA U20
27 Nov
Castanhal U20
3 : 2
Real Naval U20
23 Nov
Real Naval U20
1 : 1
Castanhal U20
09 Nov
Meninos de Ouro U20
4 : 1
Castanhal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo U20 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Comercial PA U20 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 CA Vila Rica U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tapajos U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Atletico JM9 U20 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
6 ESMAC U20 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ponte Nova U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Trabalhista U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Pedreira U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Curumins EC U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tuna Luso U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 CRT-23 Benevides U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sao Francisco U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Boca Juniors U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Venus U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Sport Belem U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Estrela PA U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Tesla U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Paraense U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Pinheirense U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Craques do Futuro U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tiradentes PA U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Cabanos U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castanhal U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Meninos de Ouro U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Capitao Poco U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Paragominas U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sao Miguel U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Tailandia U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Aguia De Maraba U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mec Maraba U20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraense U20 (Play Offs)