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Sao Paulo AP vs Mazagao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2009
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo AP host Mazagao in the Campeonato Amapaense 2009. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Mazagao have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Sao Paulo AP have conceded 2.75 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Sao Paulo AP have won 1 to Mazagao's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2011, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 2.13, favoring Mazagao. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Paulo AP
6%
Draws
4%
Mazagao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Paulo AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mazagao has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sao Paulo AP.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sao Paulo AP.
  • Cup tournament structure in Campeonato Amapaense 2009 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo AP Mazagao
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2011 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Sao Paulo AP
5:1
Nov 25, 2009 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Mazagao
2:1
Nov 13, 2009 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Mazagao
0:1
Sep 27, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Sao Paulo AP
0:0
Apr 19, 2008 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Sao Paulo AP
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo AP 83 / 100
Mazagao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo AP Mazagao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo AP scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

Mazagao let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sao Paulo AP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mazagao lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo AP VS Mazagao
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sao Paulo AP0
Mazagao1
Santana EC0
SAO Jose0
Final
Mazagao1
Santana EC2