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Sao Paulo Crystal vs Desportiva Guarabira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo Crystal host Desportiva Guarabira in the Paraibano 2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sao Paulo Crystal have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Desportiva Guarabira's 1.5 scored and 1.33 conceded. Past meetings favor Desportiva Guarabira slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 31, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.81 - 2.06) back Desportiva Guarabira to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sao Paulo Crystal
15%
Draws
34%
Desportiva Guarabira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo Crystal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Desportiva Guarabira come out ahead of Sao Paulo Crystal on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sao Paulo Crystal Clean Sheet 10%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo Crystal Desportiva Guarabira
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2025 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Sao Paulo Crystal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo Crystal 34 / 100
Desportiva Guarabira 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo Crystal Desportiva Guarabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Guarabira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Guarabira has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sao Paulo Crystal scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Sao Paulo Crystal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo Crystal VS Desportiva Guarabira
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo Crystal

(Home)
07 Oct
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 1
Serrano PB
03 Oct
Femar
0 : 2
Sao Paulo Crystal
30 Sept
Santa Rita
4 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
27 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
1 : 3
Auto Esporte
23 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
4 : 3
Spartax
Page 1 of 6

Desportiva Guarabira

(Away)
08 Oct
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 1
Auto Esporte
05 Oct
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 1
Spartax
01 Oct
Serrano PB
2 : 0
Desportiva Guarabira
27 Sept
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 0
Cruzeiro-PB
24 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 2
Desportiva Guarabira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auto Esporte 8 6 2 0 17:4 20
2 Santa Rita 8 6 0 2 19:8 18
3 Desportiva Guarabira 8 4 1 3 14:4 13
4 Cruzeiro-PB 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
5 Spartax 8 2 4 2 11:11 10
6 Serrano PB 8 2 4 2 7:9 10
7 Sport PB 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
8 Sao Paulo Crystal 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Picuiense 8 1 2 5 5:18 5
10 Femar 8 0 1 7 5:22 1
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)