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Sao Paulo U20 vs Athletico-PR U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Igor O. G.
68' Event
Joao
75' Event
Guilherme Reis

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sao Paulo U20
15%
Draws
35%
Athletico-PR U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Paulo U20 have won more games recently than Athletico-PR U20.
  • Sao Paulo U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sao Paulo U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Athletico-PR U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo U20 Athletico-PR U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Copa do Brasil U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Athletico-PR U20
3:1
Apr 22, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:2
Jun 18, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:3
Apr 3, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Athletico-PR U20
2:2
Apr 6, 2023 Brasileiro U20
Athletico-PR U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor O. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Athletico-PR U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stabelini K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo U20 85 / 100
Athletico-PR U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo U20 Athletico-PR U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sao Paulo U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Athletico-PR U20 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo U20 VS Athletico-PR U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
04 Sept
Desportivo U20
0 : 1
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 6

Athletico-PR U20

(Away)
16 Sept
Athletico-PR U20
5 : 2
Luverdense U20
16 Jul
Bragantino U20
3 : 1
Athletico-PR U20
08 Jul
Athletico-PR U20
0 : 1
Bragantino U20
01 Jul
Athletico-PR U20
2 : 0
Vitoria U20
24 Jun
Avai U20
0 : 2
Athletico-PR U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Amazonas U20 4
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 -
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 -
Paysandu PA U20 6
Independente AP U20 0
Tuna Luso U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 0
CSA U20 -
Santa Cruz U20 -
Nautico U20 6
Sergipe U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Vasco U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Bahia U20 -
Atletico-MG U20 -
Athletic Club U20 -
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 -
Goias U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Santos U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Athletico-PR U20 -
Gremio U20 -
Operario PR U20 -
Barra FC U20 0
Criciuma U20 3
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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