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Sao Paulo U20 vs Bahia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Roger Gabriel
13' Event
Caio Suassuna
24' Event
Pena D.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 game between Sao Paulo U20 and Bahia U20 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sao Paulo U20
6%
Draws
90%
Bahia U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahia U20 come out ahead of Sao Paulo U20 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bahia U20 taking it.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo U20 Bahia U20
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.38 3.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Bahia U20
2:3
Jun 25, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Bahia U20
3:1
Nov 27, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
Bahia U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
2:2
Nov 21, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
Sao Paulo U20 vs Bahia U20
2:0
May 28, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Bahia U20 vs Sao Paulo U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amaro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bahia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Suassuna
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roger Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo U20 10 / 100
Bahia U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo U20 Bahia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sao Paulo U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Paulo U20 scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Bahia U20 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo U20 VS Bahia U20
1.38 Goals Scored 3.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515