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Sao Paulo U20 vs Uniao Carmolandense U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20
Sao Paulo U20 Logo

Sao Paulo U20

Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Logo

Uniao Carmolandense U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa do Brasil U20. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Uniao Carmolandense U20 have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Sao Paulo U20 have conceded 0.53 and scored 2.13. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.25 - 1.00) back Sao Paulo U20 to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sao Paulo U20
15%
Draws
41%
Uniao Carmolandense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Paulo U20 come out ahead of Uniao Carmolandense U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sao Paulo U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Sao Paulo U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sao Paulo U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Carmolandense U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo U20 Uniao Carmolandense U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.53 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo U20 40 / 100
Uniao Carmolandense U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo U20 Uniao Carmolandense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sao Paulo U20 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Uniao Carmolandense U20 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Uniao Carmolandense U20's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo U20 VS Uniao Carmolandense U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo U20

(Home)
08 Oct
Sao Paulo U20
3 : 1
Athletico-PR U20
25 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo U20
21 Sept
EC Sao Bernardo U20
0 : 0
Sao Paulo U20
16 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
1 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao U20
10 Sept
Sao Paulo U20
13 : 1
Gremio Santo Antonio U20
Page 1 of 6

Uniao Carmolandense U20

(Away)
07 Oct
Tuna Luso U20
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense U20
09 Sept
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Miranda do Norte U20
04 Jul
Uniao Carmolandense U20
2 : 1
Batalhao U20
27 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20
20 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
1 : 0
Araguaia (TO) U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tuna Luso U20 3
Batalhao U20 0
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Miranda do Norte U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 13
Gremio Santo Antonio U20 1
Athletico-PR U20 5
Luverdense U20 2
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-PI U20 1
Ferroviario U20 1
EC de Patos U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3
Guanabara City U20 1
Goias U20 4
Trindade U20 2
CSA U20 4
Confianca PB U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 3
Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 0
Sao Raimundo RR U20 7
Genus U20 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
Uniao Cacoalense U20 0
Amazonas U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 0
Galvez U20 0
Santa Cruz AC U20 5
Atletico-MG U20 4
Sobradinho U20 0
Athletic Club U20 2
Real Brasilia U20 1
Fortaleza U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
QFC U20 2
Paysandu PA U20 5
Macapa U20 0
Independente AP U20 2
Sao Luis MA U20 0
Palmeiras U20 10
Naviraiense U20 0
Santos U20 2
Cuiaba U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 4
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 16
Alagoinhas U20 0
Gremio U20 5
Real SC U20 0
Operario PR U20 3
Chapecoense-SC U20 2
Nautico U20 3
America PE U20 1
Sergipe U20 1
Falcon U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 6
Forte U20 0
Vasco U20 11
Rio Branco ES U20 0
Internacional U20 0
Barra FC U20 1
Criciuma U20 3
FC Cascavel U20 1
1/16-finals
Tuna Luso U20 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20 2
Sao Paulo U20 3
Athletico-PR U20 1
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 0
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 1
Goias U20 2
CSA U20 0
Santa Cruz U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 3
Amazonas U20 4
Santa Cruz AC U20 1
Atletico-MG U20 2
Athletic Club U20 1
Piaui U20 2
America RN U20 3
Paysandu PA U20 6
Independente AP U20 0
Palmeiras U20 4
Santos U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 1
Bahia U20 0
Gremio U20 1
Operario PR U20 3
Nautico U20 6
Sergipe U20 2
Flamengo RJ U20 3
Vasco U20 2
Barra FC U20 0
Criciuma U20 3
1/8-finals
Uniao Carmolandense U20 -
Sao Paulo U20 -
Ceara U20 -
Goias U20 -
Santa Cruz U20 -
Sao Raimundo RR U20 -
Amazonas U20 -
Atletico-MG U20 -
America RN U20 -
Paysandu PA U20 -
Palmeiras U20 -
Botafogo RJ U20 -
Operario PR U20 -
Nautico U20 -
Flamengo RJ U20 -
Criciuma U20 -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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