Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Saavedra E.
18'
18'
Luciano
Assist: Danielzinho
26'
26'
Asprilla D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolivar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Bolivar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Bolivar a 61% chance of winning this.
- Bolivar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 12%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Paulo | Bolivar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Sao Paulo vs Bolivar
3:1
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Bolivar vs Sao Paulo
1:1
Jan 31, 2013 Copa Libertadores
Bolivar vs Sao Paulo
4:3
Jan 24, 2013 Copa Libertadores
Sao Paulo vs Bolivar
5:0
Apr 14, 1992 Copa Libertadores
Sao Paulo vs Bolivar
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Paulo Compare
Top Goalscorer Luciano
1 Goals Assists Leader Sabino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Bolivar Compare
Top Goalscorer Asprilla D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Paulo 10 / 100
Bolivar 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Paulo Bolivar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bolivar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Sao Paulo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Bolivar let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Sao Paulo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sao Paulo VS Bolivar
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Paulo
(Home) 08 Oct
Cruzeiro
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2 Santos
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 Internacional
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0 Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2 Santos
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 Internacional
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
Sao Paulo
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
29 Aug
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 Bragantino
Page 1 of 3
Bolivar
(Away) 04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2 GV San Jose
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0 Blooming
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2 GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Bolivar
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
02 Sept
GV San Jose
0 : 1 Bolivar
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
