Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1 - 1

Millonarios

Our Tip

Match Events

Luciano

Assist: Bobadilla D.

30'

Mosquera S.

47'

Calleri J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Sao Paulo

30%

Draws

47%

Millonarios

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Millonarios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Millonarios come out ahead of Sao Paulo on wins alone.
47% — that's where the model lands on Millonarios taking it.
Millonarios arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Millonarios, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 20%

Millonarios Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Paulo	Millonarios
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	8	11
Draws	9	10
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.07	1.61
Goals Conceded	1.11	1.11
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Sao Paulo vs Millonarios

1:1

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Millonarios vs Sao Paulo

0:0

Oct 24, 2007 Copa Sudamericana

Millonarios vs Sao Paulo

2:0

Oct 10, 2007 Copa Sudamericana

Sao Paulo vs Millonarios

0:1

Sep 27, 1974 Copa Libertadores

Sao Paulo vs Millonarios

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Luciano

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Millonarios Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtado J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo 28 / 100

Millonarios 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Paulo Millonarios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millonarios Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Millonarios has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Sao Paulo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo VS Millonarios

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo

(Home)

02 Oct

Sao Paulo

1 : 2

Santos

20 Sept

Sao Paulo

1 : 0

Internacional

16 Sept

Sao Paulo

1 : 1

Boca Juniors

12 Sept

Palmeiras

2 : 0

Sao Paulo

09 Sept

Boca Juniors

1 : 0

Sao Paulo

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Millonarios

(Away)

03 Oct

Barranquilla

2 : 1

Millonarios

30 Sept

Ind. Medellin

2 : 2

Millonarios

25 Sept

Atl. Nacional

1 : 1

Millonarios

19 Sept

Millonarios

3 : 0

Chico

14 Sept

Cucuta

1 : 2

Millonarios

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