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Sao Paulo vs O Higgins - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Luciano
Assist: Calleri J.
15'
Ogaz F.
17'
Calleri J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sao Paulo
15%
Draws
64%
O Higgins
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Higgins

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and O Higgins come out ahead of Sao Paulo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans O Higgins's way, sitting at 80%.
  • O Higgins arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 18%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo O Higgins
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
O Higgins vs Sao Paulo
0:0
Apr 14, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Sao Paulo vs O Higgins
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Luciano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Artur
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

O Higgins Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo 12 / 100
O Higgins 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo O Higgins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Higgins Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Higgins has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Sao Paulo found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sao Paulo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo VS O Higgins
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo

(Home)
08 Oct
Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Santos
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
Page 1 of 6

O Higgins

(Away)
04 Oct
O Higgins
2 : 0
D. Concepcion
30 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
O Higgins
27 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 3
O Higgins
24 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macara 6 2 4 0 6:3 10
2 Tigre 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
3 America De Cali 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
4 Alianza Atl. 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Cienciano 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
3 Juventud 6 1 4 1 10:7 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
2 O Higgins 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Millonarios 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
4 Boston River 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Recoleta 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
2 Santos 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
3 San Lorenzo 6 1 4 1 6:5 7
4 Dep. Cuenca 6 1 3 2 3:7 6
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ 6 5 1 0 15:5 16
2 Caracas 6 2 3 1 9:9 9
3 Racing Club 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
4 Independiente 6 0 0 6 3:15 0
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Gremio 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Deportivo Riestra 6 1 2 3 4:10 5
4 Palestino 6 0 3 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 Vasco 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 A. Italiano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
4 Barracas Central 6 0 3 3 2:8 3
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Bragantino 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
3 Carabobo 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Blooming 6 0 1 5 3:17 1
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)