Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Paulo vs Primavera EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Luan Martins
36'
Sub
Afonso In: Renato Vischi
Out: Afonso
40'
Sub
Luan Martins In: Joao Victor
Out: Luan Martins

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo in this Paulista matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Paulo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sao Paulo
20%
Draws
40%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Primavera EC have won more games recently than Sao Paulo.
  • Win probability leans Primavera EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sao Paulo Clean Sheet 12%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo Primavera EC
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paulista
Sao Paulo vs Primavera EC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Moura
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Primavera EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Poveda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo 10 / 100
Primavera EC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo Primavera EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Primavera EC conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sao Paulo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo VS Primavera EC
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo

(Home)
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0
Internacional
16 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
12 Sept
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Sao Paulo
09 Sept
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Sao Paulo
05 Sept
Sao Paulo
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
Page 1 of 7

Primavera EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 8 5 1 2 16:10 16
2 Palmeiras 8 5 1 2 8:7 16
3 Bragantino 8 4 4 0 14:2 16
4 Portuguesa 8 5 0 3 11:7 15
5 Corinthians 8 4 2 2 10:6 14
6 Sao Paulo 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
7 Capivariano 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
8 Santos 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
9 Guarani 8 3 3 2 6:7 12
10 Botafogo SP 8 3 2 3 5:9 11
11 Mirassol 8 2 2 4 10:8 8
12 Primavera EC 8 2 2 4 14:15 8
13 Sao Bernardo 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
14 Noroeste 8 1 5 2 11:11 8
15 Velo Clube 8 1 2 5 2:13 5
16 Ponte Preta 8 0 1 7 3:14 1
Promotion - Paulista (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A2 2027 (Main)