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Sao Paulo W vs Corinthians W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bia Menezes
13'
Aquino B.
19' Event
Juliete

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sao Paulo W
20%
Draws
35%
Corinthians W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Corinthians W haven't matched Sao Paulo W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sao Paulo W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Sao Paulo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W Corinthians W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 22 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.58 2.39
Goals Conceded 0.65 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Corinthians W
1:1
Sep 26, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2
May 12, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W
2:1
May 8, 2026 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W
1:2
Dec 5, 2025 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Sao Paulo W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bia Menezes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliete
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 50 / 100
Corinthians W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W Corinthians W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sao Paulo W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sao Paulo W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Corinthians W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS Corinthians W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
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Corinthians W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W 2
Gremio W 0
Ferroviaria W 2
CR Flamengo W 3
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 1
Palmeiras W 2
Bahia W 3
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W 4
CR Flamengo W 1
Corinthians W 2
Bahia W 0
Final
Sao Paulo W 3
Corinthians W 2