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Sao Paulo W vs CR Flamengo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo W Logo

Sao Paulo W

1 - 0
FT
CR Flamengo W Logo

CR Flamengo W

Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Aline
56'
Tayla
61'
Sub
Aline In: Mylena Carioca
Out: Aline
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sao Paulo W
20%
Draws
28%
CR Flamengo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Paulo W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sao Paulo W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Sao Paulo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sao Paulo W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 20%
CR Flamengo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W CR Flamengo W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs CR Flamengo W
1:0
Sep 12, 2026 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Sao Paulo W
1:3
May 5, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs CR Flamengo W
2:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Sao Paulo W vs CR Flamengo W
1:0
Mar 25, 2025 Brasileiro Women
CR Flamengo W vs Sao Paulo W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kesia Sena
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CR Flamengo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 42 / 100
CR Flamengo W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W CR Flamengo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Paulo W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: CR Flamengo W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS CR Flamengo W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
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CR Flamengo W

(Away)
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W 2
Gremio W 0
Ferroviaria W 2
CR Flamengo W 3
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 1
Palmeiras W 2
Bahia W 3
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W 4
CR Flamengo W 1
Corinthians W 2
Bahia W 0
Final
Sao Paulo W 3
Corinthians W 2