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Sao Paulo W vs Santos W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio do Caninde
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Aline
30' Event
Isa
45'
Rafa Soares

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Sao Paulo W and Santos W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Paulo W
6%
Draws
4%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos W haven't matched Sao Paulo W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sao Paulo W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 68%
Santos W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W Santos W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Santos W
3:0
Sep 3, 2025 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Paulo W
2:2
May 7, 2025 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Santos W
1:2
Sep 26, 2024 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Paulo W
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Santos W vs Sao Paulo W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aline
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santos W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 95 / 100
Santos W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W Santos W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sao Paulo W scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Santos W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sao Paulo W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS Santos W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16America Mineiro W121386:256
17Botafogo RJ W111287:225
18Vitoria W110387:283