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Sao Paulo W vs Santos W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo
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Match Events

75' Event
Clara

AI Match Summary

The Paulista Women game between Sao Paulo W and Santos W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Paulo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sao Paulo W
15%
Draws
27%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos W haven't matched Sao Paulo W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sao Paulo W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 68%
Santos W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W Santos W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 22 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.71 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Santos W
1:0
May 25, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Santos W
3:0
Sep 3, 2025 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Paulo W
2:2
May 7, 2025 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Santos W
1:2
Sep 26, 2024 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Paulo W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Paulo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Clara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Santos W Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 77 / 100
Santos W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W Santos W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Paulo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sao Paulo W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Santos W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS Santos W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.57
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo W

(Home)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
Page 1 of 7

Santos W

(Away)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
16 Aug
Santos W
2 : 3
CR Flamengo W
13 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Santos W
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)