Sport Picks

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Sao Paulo W vs Santos W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Estadio do Caninde, Sao Paulo
Thu, Aug 13, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Paulo W host Santos W in the Paulista Women. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sao Paulo W have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Santos W's 0.88 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Sao Paulo W have won 3 to Santos W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.81, favoring Sao Paulo W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sao Paulo W
6%
Draws
4%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos W haven't matched Sao Paulo W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sao Paulo W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 20%
Santos W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Paulo W Santos W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Santos W
3:0
Sep 3, 2025 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Paulo W
2:2
May 7, 2025 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Santos W
1:2
Sep 26, 2024 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Paulo W
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Santos W vs Sao Paulo W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Paulo W 85 / 100
Santos W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Paulo W Santos W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Sao Paulo W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Santos W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Sao Paulo W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Paulo W VS Santos W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Paulo W

(Home)
22 Jul
Vasco W
0 : 1
Sao Paulo W
18 Jul
Palmeiras W
1 : 0
Sao Paulo W
12 Jul
Sao Paulo W
2 : 1
Taubate W
06 Jul
Mauaense W
0 : 3
Sao Paulo W
25 May
Sao Paulo W
3 : 0
Santos W
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Santos W

(Away)
18 Jul
Santos W
1 : 0
Taubate W
28 May
Atletico-PI W
2 : 1
Santos W
25 May
Sao Paulo W
3 : 0
Santos W
21 May
Corinthians W
2 : 2
Santos W
17 May
Santos W
0 : 1
Bragantino W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria W43018:39
2Corinthians W421110:47
3Palmeiras W42117:27
4Sao Paulo W42024:46
5Santos W41214:45
6Bragantino W41213:85
7Taubate W41124:44
8Mirassol W40131:121
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)