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Sao Raimundo RR vs Progresso Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Manoel L.
47' Event
Rafael Carioca
59' Event
Paulo Meneses

AI Match Summary

Sao Raimundo RR in this Roraimense matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Raimundo RR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Raimundo RR
20%
Draws
44%
Progresso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Raimundo RR have won more games recently than Progresso.
  • Win probability leans Sao Raimundo RR's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sao Raimundo RR have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sao Raimundo RR Clean Sheet 68%
Progresso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Raimundo RR Progresso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 2.34 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Roraimense
Sao Raimundo RR vs Progresso
5:0
Mar 7, 2025 Roraimense
Sao Raimundo RR vs Progresso
3:0
May 7, 2024 Roraimense
Progresso vs Sao Raimundo RR
0:13
Mar 29, 2023 Roraimense
Progresso vs Sao Raimundo RR
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Raimundo RR Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Carioca
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manoel L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Raimundo RR 95 / 100
Progresso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Raimundo RR Progresso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Raimundo RR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Progresso conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.75 goals per match.

Sao Raimundo RR's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sao Raimundo RR has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Raimundo RR VS Progresso
0.88 Goals Scored 1.4
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 80%
0% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Raimundo RR

(Home)
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Manauara
1 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
24 May
Monte Roraima
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo RR
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Progresso

(Away)
18 Mar
Nautico FC
2 : 0
Progresso
14 Mar
Bare
4 : 0
Progresso
11 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 4
Progresso
06 Mar
Progresso
0 : 7
River Esporte Clube
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 8 6 2 0 28:5 20
2 Monte Roraima 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
3 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
4 Bare 8 5 0 3 17:7 15
5 River Esporte Clube 8 4 3 1 22:8 15
6 Progresso 8 2 0 6 8:25 6
7 Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
8 Nautico FC 8 1 1 6 3:17 4
9 Atl. Roraima 8 0 1 7 5:34 1
Promotion - Roraimense (Play Offs)