Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2023 Estádio 24 de Setembro

Sao Tome and Principe

0 - 1

Guinea Bissau

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Piqueti In: Gano Z.

Out: Piqueti

51'

Tinho

55'

Gano Z.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guinea Bissau in this Africa Cup of Nations 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guinea Bissau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Sao Tome and Principe

17%

Draws

70%

Guinea Bissau

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Guinea Bissau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Guinea Bissau lately — more wins on the board than Sao Tome and Principe.
Win probability leans Guinea Bissau's way, sitting at 70%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Africa Cup of Nations 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Guinea Bissau have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%

Sao Tome and Principe Clean Sheet 14%

Guinea Bissau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Tome and Principe	Guinea Bissau
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	3	7
Draws	4	7
Losses	22	17
Goals Scored	0.5	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations

Sao Tome and Principe vs Guinea Bissau

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Jun 9, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations

Guinea Bissau vs Sao Tome and Principe

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

5:1

Sep 10, 2019 World Championship

Guinea Bissau vs Sao Tome and Principe

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Sep 4, 2019 World Championship

Sao Tome and Principe vs Guinea Bissau

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Tome and Principe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Guinea Bissau Compare

Top Goalscorer Gano Z.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Tome and Principe 15 / 100

Guinea Bissau 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Tome and Principe Guinea Bissau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea Bissau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Guinea Bissau's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sao Tome and Principe scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Tome and Principe VS Guinea Bissau

0.5 Goals Scored 0.75

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	5	0	1	22:4	15
2	Guinea Bissau	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	10:11	5
4	Sao Tome and Principe	6	0	1	5	3:26	1
5	Mauritius	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Burkina Faso	6	3	2	1	8:5	11
2	Cape Verde	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
3	Togo	6	2	2	2	8:8	8
4	Eswatini	6	0	3	3	3:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	4	2	1	1	6:3	7
2	Namibia	4	1	2	1	6:6	5
3	Burundi	4	1	1	2	4:7	4
4	Kenya	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	5	0	1	10:3	15
2	Guinea	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Malawi	6	1	2	3	4:10	5
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	5:8	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	6	3	3	0	8:3	12
2	Angola	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Central Africa	6	2	1	3	9:7	7
4	Madagascar	6	0	3	3	1:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	9:2	16
2	Tanzania	6	2	2	2	3:4	8
3	Uganda	6	2	1	3	5:6	7
4	Niger	6	0	2	4	3:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	5	0	1	15:2	15
2	Gambia	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
3	Congo	6	2	1	3	5:10	7
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	5:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	12:6	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	1	1	9:5	13
3	Comoros	6	2	1	3	6:8	7
4	Lesotho	6	0	1	5	1:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	11:4	12
2	Mauritania	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Gabon	6	2	1	3	3:5	7
4	Sudan	6	2	0	4	3:10	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	6	4	1	1	11:1	13
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	4	1	1	9:7	13
3	Botswana	6	1	1	4	3:9	4
4	Libya	6	1	1	4	2:8	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	4	3	0	1	8:3	9
2	South Africa	4	2	1	1	7:6	7
3	Liberia	4	0	1	3	3:9	1
4	Zimbabwe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	4	2	0	12:4	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	1	2	8:9	10
3	Benin	6	1	2	3	8:9	5
4	Rwanda	6	0	3	3	3:9	3