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Saprissa vs Alajuelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saprissa host Alajuelense in the Primera Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Saprissa at 1.94 goals for, 1.09 against; Alajuelense at 1.63 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Saprissa have won 2 to Alajuelense's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.69) back Saprissa to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Saprissa
30%
Draws
43%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alajuelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saprissa lately — more wins on the board than Alajuelense.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 13%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Alajuelense
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.94 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Saprissa
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Saprissa
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Alajuelense
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Saprissa
3:1
Dec 18, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Alajuelense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 31 / 100
Alajuelense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Alajuelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saprissa scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Alajuelense let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Saprissa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS Alajuelense
2 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
22 Oct
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Saprissa
18 Oct
Cartagines
1 : 0
Saprissa
16 Oct
Saprissa
6 : 0
Sporting FC
11 Oct
Escorpiones
1 : 0
Saprissa
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
Page 1 of 7

Alajuelense

(Away)
18 Oct
Inter San Carlos
2 : 3
Alajuelense
15 Oct
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Herediano
10 Oct
Puntarenas FC
1 : 1
Alajuelense
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 12 8 0 4 26:12 24
2 Cartagines 12 8 0 4 23:14 24
3 Sporting FC 12 6 3 3 22:18 21
4 Alajuelense 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
5 San Carlos 12 6 1 5 13:14 19
6 Inter San Carlos 12 5 3 4 14:17 18
7 Puntarenas FC 12 4 3 5 12:18 15
8 Herediano 12 3 2 7 12:16 11
9 Escorpiones 12 3 1 8 12:18 10
10 Zeledon 12 2 3 7 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)