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Saprissa vs Arcahaie

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF League 2020 Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Sully M. In: Cineus E.
Out: Sully M.
16' Event
Espindola E.
Assist: Barrantes M.
31' Event
Rodriguez A.
Assist: Bolanos C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Saprissa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Saprissa
20%
Draws
29%
Arcahaie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Arcahaie haven't matched Saprissa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Saprissa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Saprissa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Saprissa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 20%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saprissa Arcahaie
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.21 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2021 CONCACAF League
Saprissa vs Arcahaie
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Espindola E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Arcahaie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saprissa 42 / 100
Arcahaie 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saprissa Arcahaie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Saprissa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arcahaie has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Saprissa VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saprissa

(Home)
31 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Escorpiones
28 Aug
Olimpia
2 : 1
Saprissa
23 Aug
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Saprissa
16 Aug
Saprissa
3 : 2
Cartagines
12 Aug
Saprissa
3 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 6

Arcahaie

(Away)
16 May
Arcahaie
0 : 2
Waterhouse
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1
Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3
Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1
Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0
Arcahaie
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Herediano -
TBD -
TBD -
Esteli -
San Francisco -
TBD -
Alajuelense 3
Cibao 0
Olimpia -
TBD -
FAS 1
Managua FC 2
Alianza FC -
TBD -
Motagua 3
Comunicaciones 2
Marathon -
TBD -
Independiente 0
Antigua 1
Saprissa -
TBD -
TBD -
Municipal -
Waterhouse -
TBD -
Arcahaie -
Verdes -
Tauro -
TBD -
Municipal Limeno 1
Forge FC 2
1/8-finals
Herediano 0
Esteli 1
San Francisco 0
Alajuelense 1
Olimpia 6
Managua FC 0
Alianza FC 1
Motagua 2
Marathon 2
Antigua 1
Saprissa 4
Municipal 1
Waterhouse 1
Arcahaie 3
Tauro 1
Forge FC 2
Quarter-finals
Esteli 1
Alajuelense 2
Olimpia 2
Motagua 0
Marathon 0
Saprissa 2
Arcahaie 2
Forge FC 1
Semi-finals
Alajuelense 1
Olimpia 0
Saprissa 5
Arcahaie 0
Final
Alajuelense 3
Saprissa 2